Prediction: SiriusXM Will Beat the Market. Here's Why.

SiriusXM Holdings (NASDAQ: SIRI) isn't exactly an investor favorite right now, and it's easy to see why. The satellite radio leader's subscriber base peaked in 2019 and isn't heading in the right direction, with a decrease of about 303,000 self-pay subscribers in the first quarter of 2025 alone. Plus, revenue has been falling recently, down by about 3% year over year in 2024. Profitability is also heading in the wrong direction, with free cash slow down by about 33% over the past two full years.With the stock down by more than 60% since the beginning of last year, it doesn't seem investors have much faith in the company, either.However, I have a bit of a contrarian take here. SiriusXM is a highly profitable business right now, and management isn't exactly sitting around doing nothing. With an extremely low valuation, now could be a smart time to take a closer look. In fact, I predict that over the next five years, SiriusXM will beat the S&P 500's total returns.Continue reading

Jun 19, 2025 - 13:14
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Prediction: SiriusXM Will Beat the Market. Here's Why.

SiriusXM Holdings (NASDAQ: SIRI) isn't exactly an investor favorite right now, and it's easy to see why. The satellite radio leader's subscriber base peaked in 2019 and isn't heading in the right direction, with a decrease of about 303,000 self-pay subscribers in the first quarter of 2025 alone. Plus, revenue has been falling recently, down by about 3% year over year in 2024. Profitability is also heading in the wrong direction, with free cash slow down by about 33% over the past two full years.

With the stock down by more than 60% since the beginning of last year, it doesn't seem investors have much faith in the company, either.

However, I have a bit of a contrarian take here. SiriusXM is a highly profitable business right now, and management isn't exactly sitting around doing nothing. With an extremely low valuation, now could be a smart time to take a closer look. In fact, I predict that over the next five years, SiriusXM will beat the S&P 500's total returns.

Continue reading