MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly SurveyMortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 24, 2025. This week’s results include an adjustment for the Martin Luther King holiday. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 9 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 7 percent from the previous week and was 5 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 0.4 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week and was 7 percent lower than the same week one year ago. “Mortgage rates were mixed last week, and the 30-year fixed rate remained unchanged at 7.02 percent. Application activity was slightly weaker, primarily because of a 7 percent decline in refinancing across both conventional and government loans,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “Purchase activity decreased slightly, but applications for FHA purchase loans were a bright spot, increasing by 2 percent. New and existing-home sales ended 2024 on a strong note, and if mortgage rates continue to stabilize and for-sale inventory loosens, we expect a gradual pick up in purchase activity in the coming months.” ... The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($766,550 or less) remained unchanged at 7.02 percent, with points increasing to 0.63 from 0.62 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image. The first graph shows the MBA mortgage purchase index. According to the MBA, purchase activity is down 7% year-over-year unadjusted. Red is a four-week average (blue is weekly).  Purchase application activity is up about 30% from the lows in late October 2023 and is now 8% above the lowest levels during the housing bust.  The second graph shows the refinance index since 1990. The refinance index is very low.

Jan 29, 2025 - 23:49
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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 24, 2025. This week’s results include an adjustment for the Martin Luther King holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 9 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 7 percent from the previous week and was 5 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 0.4 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week and was 7 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

“Mortgage rates were mixed last week, and the 30-year fixed rate remained unchanged at 7.02 percent. Application activity was slightly weaker, primarily because of a 7 percent decline in refinancing across both conventional and government loans,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “Purchase activity decreased slightly, but applications for FHA purchase loans were a bright spot, increasing by 2 percent. New and existing-home sales ended 2024 on a strong note, and if mortgage rates continue to stabilize and for-sale inventory loosens, we expect a gradual pick up in purchase activity in the coming months.”
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The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($766,550 or less) remained unchanged at 7.02 percent, with points increasing to 0.63 from 0.62 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.
emphasis added
Mortgage Purchase IndexClick on graph for larger image.

The first graph shows the MBA mortgage purchase index.

According to the MBA, purchase activity is down 7% year-over-year unadjusted. 

Red is a four-week average (blue is weekly).  

Purchase application activity is up about 30% from the lows in late October 2023 and is now 8% above the lowest levels during the housing bust.  

Mortgage Refinance Index
The second graph shows the refinance index since 1990.

The refinance index is very low.